Is the great American comic book movie about to die?

I’m starting to get the feeling that maybe we’re at the apex of the superhero movie. Okay, right now superhero movies are very popular and they’re making loads of money but it seems like they’re also becoming over exposed. This year there are four traditional superhero movies set to be released; Iron Man 3, Man of Steel, The Wolverine and Thor: The Dark World, and next year five; Captain America: The Winter Soldier, The Amazing Spider-Man 2, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, X-Men; Days of Future Past and Guardians of the Galaxy.

Thor: The Dark World Poster
Thor: The Dark World Poster

Is there really a big enough market to sustain nine superhero movies in two years? And remember, these movies don’t just need to be successful, they need to be, pardon the pun, SUPER successful since each has a budget of (probably) around $200 million with additional millions being spent on marketing.

With these kinds of expenses these kinds of movies can literally make more than $300 million at the box office, like G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra, Battleship and Wrath of the Titans did, and be considered a disappointment.

It doesn’t help that the superhero movie is starting to get a bit redundant in the story department too. Quick, which superhero movie am I describing here?

Superhero fights villain and the villain is stronger than the superhero. It looks like villain is surly going to win, but superhero steps up and saves the day by defeating the villain at the last minute.

It’s a trick question, that plot line pretty much sums up every superhero that’s been made in the last decade.

Now don’t get me wrong, I absolutely adore superhero movies. I’m just wondering that if at some point in the near future we’ll all look back at 2013 as the high point for the superhero movie. Where budgets got out of control compared to grosses and only movies that would go onto make billions at the box office would be considered a success.

I’m sure all of these nine superhero movies are hoping to be the next The Avengers or The Dark Knight Rises in terms of profits. But history shows us that there really can only be one or two (at most) of these a year.

Marvel Movie Madness Starring Iron Man

Marvel Entertainment is a studio accustomed to making hit movies. Last summer they released The Avengers that raked in $1.5 billion in ticket sales, the year before that Captain America: The First Avenger and Thor $359 million, the summer before that Iron Man 2 $312 million… And this summer brings Marvel’s Iron Man 3.

Robert Downey Jr. & Gwyneth Paltrow in Iron Man 3
Robert Downey Jr. & Gwyneth Paltrow
in Iron Man 3

Starring Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark/Iron Man, so far the previous two Iron Man films have found Stark developing the Iron Man technology then doing his best to make sure that it doesn’t fall into the wrong hands. This third installment features Stark doing battle with the evil Mandarin (Ben Kingsley), Iron Man’s fiercest foe yet who will stop at nothing to destroy Stark and Iron Man along with him.

Directed and co-written by Shane Black, writer/director of Kiss Kiss Bang Bang and writer of The Monster Squad, Iron Man 3 is the seventh film in this ultra-successful series of Marvel universe movies.

Honestly, I have no doubt that Iron Man 3 will only add to Marvel’s success and that the upcoming Captain America: The Winter Soldier out in 2014 and Thor: The Dark World out this winter won’t top the first ones in that series as well or that The Avengers 2 won’t smash the records that were originally set by the first The Avengers.

I think Marvel’s real problem moving forward is that they’ve run out of new top tier characters like Iron Man, Captain America or Thor to build film franchises around.

What many might not know is that Marvel doesn’t own the film rights to The Fantastic Four, X-Men or Spider-Man – other movie studios do. So don’t expect to see Reed Richards helping Tony Stark or Wolverine battling Sentinels along with the Incredible Hulk anytime soon. And what the lack of new top tier characters means for Marvel is that they’re going to start building new film franchises around secondary teams and characters that the general public has probably never heard of.

The Guardians of the Galaxy
The Guardians of the Galaxy

Out next year is a movie based on the cosmic book Guardians of the Galaxy. What, you’ve never heard of the Guardians before? They’re a team of space-based superheroes including Star-Lord, Drax the Destroyer, the living tree Groot and the aptly named Rocket Raccoon.

Ant Man
Ant Man

In addition to the Guardians, there’s also an Ant Man movie in the works. Ant Man was an original Avenger who has the power to grow very big or very small and has the ability to control ants with his mind too.

And the literal billion dollar question with teams like the Guardians or characters like Ant Man is if the characters seem outwardly goofy like “living tree” or “controls ants with his mind” and if they don’t star people most are already familiar with, namely Robert Downy Jr., will anyone other than the comic book geeks go see it?

The 1990s Guardians of the Galaxy Team
The 1990s Guardians of the Galaxy Team

Part of me thinks that with the success of The Avengers the movie going public will at least try any upcoming Marvel movie, especially how Marvel does such a good job of tying their films together. Iron Man tied to The Avengers, The Incredible Hulk tied to Iron Man 2, Iron Man 2 tied to Captain America, Captain America tied to The Avengers. And The Avengers introduced a whole plethora of cosmic characters to the Marvel movie universe that would logically include the Guardians too. And Ant Man is already a Avenger so there’s a familiarity there already with him. So, as long as Marvel keeps doing what they’re doing they should be fine.

But another part of me worries about the future of the Marvel movies. The Iron Man and The Avengers movies were a hits at the box office and the first Captain America, Thor and The Incredible Hulk movies were successful too, but only just. It seems that if any of the upcoming sequels like Iron Man 3 or second Captain America or Thor movies stumble at the box office or if movies like The Guardians of the Galaxy fail to connect with an audience Thanos might be the least of the Marvel movie universe’s worries.